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Thanksgiving weather forecast: What to expect in Tampa Bay?

Marcus Chen
Managing Editor · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 8:03 PM · 1 min read
Thanksgiving weather forecast: What to expect in Tampa Bay? — FOX 13 Tampa Bay, Dunedin Sports news
Image: FOX 13 Tampa Bay

With Thanksgiving still several weeks away, here's what historical climate averages and NOAA's latest monthly weather outlook can tell us about the weather pattern leading into the holiday.What is the typical weather in Tampa Bay for Thanksgiving?November is one of the driest months of the year in Tampa Bay, as the region transitions away from its summer rainy season. Tampa averages just over an inch of rain for the entire month, in comparison to the 9+ inches during rainy season. This is typically our driest month of the season.Afternoon temperatures are generally comfortable, and humidity is much more tolerable. Based on NOAA’s 1991–2020 climate normals, Tampa International Airport has an average November high of about 79°F and an average low of about 61°F.What does NOAA’s November outlook say?NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issues monthly outlooks that show whether temperatures and precipitation are more likely to be above, near or below their historical averages. These outlooks de

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